Housing Numbers: It’s Not all About First Time Buyers and Credits

In the last weeks there have been so many posts relative to the housing numbers and the expiration of the First Time Home Buyer Credit. What nobody seems to be writing about are the numbers of home buyers coming into the market who that credit does not apply to. Homes are selling. It is a shift in numbers. There are less units selling at higher price points. I am further seeing the market go from glorified renters to truly qualified homeowners. The market is now about buyers who can afford to buy.

The first time home buyers are not effected just because a tax credit went away. One factor is the glut of inventory as a result of short sales and foreclosures in the price range these buyers are typically in. In some neighborhoods distressed sales are the only sales. The other is most of these home buyers actually need money now for a down payment. Until they save enough they are renters.

I am working with some first time buyers. Because they typically need to put 10-20% down now they are waiting until they save enough to buy something they see themselves living in for longer than 2-3 years. They want to grow into the space than grow out of it. The effect on many parts of the Chicago market is these buyers are not buying $150,000-$300,000 condos. They are starting in the $350,000 price range or higher. Many of these buyers have the assistance of their parents and are coming in with substantial down payments. They are not the first time buyers we have seen in the past years.

Based on my recent sales and activity as well as watching what has been going under contract in the MLS, the mid to upper bracket market is really starting to move. The buyers that can truly afford to be homeowners are taking advantage of opportunity and pricing. From $350,000 into the millions property is moving. It has to show the best and be priced the best.  It might sit there at what real estate agents and their sellers think is a great price but all the sudden the buyers come with offers. It is not unusual that once one buyer wants the home so does one, two or three others. Suddenly somebody wants what somebody else has.

And we have to remind our sellers: It’s not where you the buyer starts, it’s the price and terms we get them up to! Its called negotiations.

Local REALTORS® Finally Heard

As an active member and committee Chair of the Government Affairs Committee of the Chicago Association of REALTORS® and an active REALTOR® , the message was loud and clear: The low conforming  and FHA loan limits are grossly hurting the middle segment of the Chicago Area real estate market.

This week our concerns were finally heard. According to this post on IARBuzz, the official blog of the Illinois Association of REALTORS®,  IAR and its members took to Capitol Hill and met with legislators to work towards a solution to this issue. The Chicago Area’s loan limits are significantly lower than in many other markets nationwide and this needs to be corrected. Why can you get a higher conventional mortgage in Athens, Ohio than you can in  Chicago, Illinois?

“Unfortunately, for homeowners in Chicago, there is no break whatsoever.  Chicago’s tony neighborhoods — Lake Forest, Lincoln Park, Hinsdale and elsewhere — are stuck at $417,000. This is because each of the Chicagoland counties are a melange of housing types and socioeconomic class” says Dan Green, loan officer with WaterstoneMortgage  and national speaker providing  mortgage insight.

Grassroots Efforts Can Get Your Voice Heard

As complaints and discussions came about into our local association the leadership of the Chicago Association of  REALTORS® saw this issue was quickly becoming a priority issue of its membership. Under the guidance of Brian Bernardoni, Senior Director of Governmental Affairs and Public Policy for the Association, a task force was formed composed of the different real estate professionals that are involved in the real estate transaction including bankers, appraisers, title companies and REALTORS®.

This is an  issue regarding national legislation with a major negative impact on our Chicago members and the clients they serve had to be communicated to the Illinois and then the  National Association of REALTORS®. Our local issue that was decided for us in Washington D.C. seemed to be going nowhere until now.

Thank you to the leadership of REALTOR® Association for finally realizing how hurtful this has been on the Chicago area real estate market. If only it had not taken so long consider this a priority and move this issue forward.  How many more homes could have already been sold and not still be standing vacant? Could an increased loan limit last year saved more families from foreclosure?

Springtime in Chicago: Festivals and Farmers Markets

Once spring starts, you can always count on great events every weekend throughout Chicago’s Neighborhoods.

From small farmers markets to major concert events in Chicago’s parks there is something for everyone.

Want to know what is going on around Chicago?  Explore Chicago

For the complete resource for events and farmers markets check out Explore Chicago.

There are so many things to do and see and they can all be found here neighborhood by neighborhood:

  • Farmers Markets
  • Neighborhood Festivals
  • Music
  • What to See
  • What to Eat
  • Where to Shop
  • Tours
  • Museums
  • Events
  • Attractions
  • Exhibits
  • Sports
  • Recreational Activities
  • Green Chicago
  • Hot to Get There

This is one of the best Chicago resources for visitors and Chicagoans alike. Nothing like one stop websites.

You can follow Explore Chicago on Twitter at @ExploreChicago.

REALTOR® National Open House Weekend April 10-11: Chicago

As we go into this weekend, April 10 & 11, 2010, all over the country open houses are being promoted to showcase our great housing inventory. According to Trulia 9 out of 10 buyers will visit open houses during there home search.

Here are some of my listings that will be open:

First Time Buyer Tax Credit Opportunities

Townhomes and Single Families:

Just because there is not an open house or you cannot make it to the open house at that time,  always feel free to set up an appointment to see a any property you are interested in.

The Open House Debate Revisited

The National Association of REALTORS® is Promoting April 10- 11, 2010 as “National REALTOR® Open House Weekend”.  I have always been an advocate of open houses. Why? It sells properties!

The Great Debate

These conversations go on. They are on Twitter, Facebook and blogs.  Some agents state it is a waste of their time. Some agents say the only results are picking up buyers. It always amazes me when real estate agents  make a declaration they don’t/won’t do open houses. The arrogance in the comments makes it sound like showing up for 2 hours on a Sunday  is beneath them. Some believe social media replaces open houses. They are convinced that sitting on their computers will sell their listings.

I respect everyone has different points of view but I look at the results.

The Goal: Sell the Listing

Just as how we get clients and listings does not come from only one source, what generates a sale does not come from one source.  I have had success selling properties as a result of open houses throughout my real estate career. I do them week in and week out. Some weeks no one comes through, sometimes one person and others many. It only takes one person  and one offer. In the last months I have sold three properties resulting from open houses. The listing I got was a bonus.

If you opt not to offer open houses to your sellers in marketing their properties, that’s your choice. But don’t make it seem that those of us who do are wasting anybody’s time or makes us less professional as an agent. Selling my clients properties are never a waste of my time. It’s my job.


I Can Find Myself (Said with a Sigh of Relief)

I have a client selling a home in another state. I got a name of an REALTOR® in my client’s marketplace. The referring source emailed the agent’s name and number, but forgot to include the company. I wanted to find out about the agent before I contacted them. So I did what we all probably would do – GOOGLE:

  • First the name
  • Then added the city and state
  • Then added REALTOR®

Then I emailed the referral source for the brokerage name. I added the National Broker’s name. All this and I still could not click on a link and get to the agent. I shuffled around some more on Google and found the Brokerage’s sites. It took many more clicks to locate the agent. Why would I recommend this hard to find agent and broker?

If you are a consumer, how many clicks does it take before you give up on the credibility or desire to use the goods, services or service provider?

IF I CANNOT FIND THE AGENT, HOW WILL I FIND THE LISTINGS (and ViceVersa? )

After that experience, I decided I needed to do something I had not done in a very long time : Google my name. The first page was me and one item for a website to an artist who shares my name. I added Chicago and it was all about me the way it should be. I have it all working. One click on any of number of pages and you can find all about me and my business.

The Basics:

There are a variety of other sites that came up as well that I have posted profiles on as well and some I was not familiar with. There are many links to my listings from a multitude of sources and a whole lot of miscellaneous stuff. There are many blog posts I have written as well as articles I have been quoted in over the years.

My point in all this is not to say I am great REALTOR® because of the page after page of items connected to my name. It’s just to say its easy to find me, found out about me, find out about my goods and services and contact me. There are no obstacles to the information with me. If it takes too many clicks or there is nothing to click to, the consumer will move on.  I did.

We spend a lot of time talking about the professionalism of the real estate agent. If the consumer cannot easily find information about you and your business, how do they know you are a professional? The job of the REALTOR® is to sell services and listings. How can you sell a secret?  #RTB

My Market Update: “I Am So Busy”

I am not going to rehash housing numbers that have been distributed by a variety of sources including the Illinois Association of REALTORS®  and Standard and Poor/Case Shiller. The bottom line there is the number of transactions are up, pricing is where it was at several years ago. It is what it is.

I Am So Busy

I have been hearing this more often than in the recent past from more and more REALTORS® including myself. I hear some real estate agents talking out of both sides of their mouths: “I am really busy” and “There is no business”. Yes, is it definitely more challenging  and time consuming to get the deals done so I have to evaluate where my time and my clients time is best sent. Where do I start?

Working with Buyers:

  • First and foremost are they in a position to buy?
  • What are they qualified to buy?
  • Can they afford to buy the home they really want?
  • Cultivating leads which can take months and sometimes years.

Sellers:

  • Are they in a position to sell?
  • Will they sell at a price the market will?
  • Is the property worth what the seller owes on it?
  • Do they have the equity to close it ? If not, will they do a short sale?
  • Market the property to reach the greatest number of potential buyers.

With both buyers and sellers, I always need to look at can I best serve the client’s needs. Should I be referring them out or partnering with another agent.

Even though the number of transactions are up over last year, the number of qualified buyers are way down over previous years. It only pays for me to be busy if I have vetted the above out at the start of the game.

To me busy equals selling. And yes, I am busy!

The Window of Opportunity for Sellers is Now

Search Chicago Homes

The Chicago Real Estate Market is busy! I would caution sellers not to think this traffic is going to last forever. There is a window of opportunity for best and highest price. This is it!

Where Are These New Found Buyers Coming From?

The $400,000 and under market is  most certainly being driven by first time buyers who are looking to take advantage of the $8,000 tax credit. Time is running short as these buyers need to be under contract by April 30, 2010.

With some of these first time buyers closing on their new homes, the second tier buyers are now able to shop for their next home and take advantage of the $6500 tax credit.

The other opportunity for sellers is coming from job relocation. The income level for the corporate relocation appears to afford these buyers to be searching in the next higher price bracket, $400,000-$750,000. This home buyer typical comes into town once or twice and buys. Sometimes they are in corporate housing for a short period of time but that seems to be  less common now than in the past.

If You Are Not Getting the Offer

Lower the price now!  If you have potential home buyers interested, keep them engaged and continue to generate more interest. The price change does not have to be substantial unless the comps are dictating so.  In the current market biding time to see if those who came through your home may put in an offer only stalls things. If there is hesitation on the part of the buyer, remove the obstacle with price before they go forward on another property that the home buyer perceives as a better value.

The more qualified the buyer the less they will probably pay. People who really cannot afford the property will usually offer to pay more. Many times more is less. In the case of an unqualified buyer less is zero.

The reality is a home’s value is only what a buyer will pay for it.

The Value of the REALTOR® Association

In the #RTB(Raising the Bar) discussions, comments have been made that I am anti National Association of Realtors®. That in fact is absolutely not the case. As a past staff member of another professional association, I became active in my the Chicago Association of Realtors upon entering my real estate career. Professional organizations are crucial to the profession. The post is long but is my insight as a practitioner and a participator. Think of NAR as a union.

It Does Not Pay But it Gives Back

Over the past decade as a volunteer, participating has helped my grow professionally and personally. I have met many great individuals, both volunteer leadership, committee members and staff, many who I am now proud to call friends. The different committees I have been a part of have all given me different knowledge.

I started off as a member of the Government Affairs Committee for the Chicago Association of Realtors® 10 years ago. Advocacy at the local, state and national levels is the number one strength of the organization. Locally I can proudly say we have one of the largest PACs and a highly regarded lobbyist by both our members and politicians. We have a voice. Locally, the issues are wide which include building codes,  abandon buildings, signs and transfer taxes. I have spent entire days with our lobbyist sitting in City Hall waiting to testify on behalf of property rights issues. This is a place I know that the only way to create change and in some cases maintain the status quo is being part of the coalition know as the Realtor® Association. Sitting back and complaining does no good and you can make yourself part of the process here. Participation is just as important at the state and national levels as well and  can be as simple as responding to the call to actions you receive.

The Good Neighbors Program has always been rewarding. It takes me out to areas in the city I typically don’t get to. I get to meet some incredible members of local communities. The list of committees I have been a member of over the years is long but I always take away something that helps me continue to develop as a professional. In addition to being a major donor, I work to raise money for RPAC(Realtor® Political Action Committee). It is the strength behind our voice. No different than anything else: Money talks, bull s..t walks.

A residual effect of my giving my time, I have also developed relationships that lead to referrals which have resulted in some nice business. You give and you get back.

I look positively at some of more recent intiatives the National Association are doing such as RPR(Realtors® Property Resource). REALTORS® Federal Credit Union offers full service virtual banking. My vote is still out on House Logic, a consumer site for home buyers and home owners, so let me know what you think on that one. It is good to see NAR capturing new involvement through new concepts such as YPN(Young Professionals Network). @nobuhata thinks YPN gives him a voice but I would disagree with him on that and say it got him engaged. There is a very large difference between voice and engagement.

The Distinction Between Voice and Engagement

We need affiliates to sponsor, members to show up and participate to thrive. Programming needs to constantly be created to meet the changing needs of our members and marketplaces. I see great value in education but little value in our current outdated designation system.

The true voice is really at the executive leadership level. I am in my fourth year as a member of board of the Chicago Association of Realtors® and have also served as a director at the Illinois and National levels. I would say that is changing with social media. I would also say they are reactive rather than proactive. The national association also thought and have fought for a long time to maintain control of information which is now backfiring on them. Hence RPR(finally) and why we are stuck with Realtor.com, an antiquated public search site.

Over the years there has been talk of a national database but there was a larger concern with stepping on the toes of local MLSs. There has also been discussions about the control of information. With Reggie Nicolay now on board I look forward to the prospect of a national database exclusively for Realtors®. But why did it have to take so long. With sites like Zillow, Trulia and Blockshopper much of it is already available to consumers in many markets. It is a behind the eight ball move for member value. Why was it third parties giving transparency to our clients?

I remember sitting in a local leadership retreat several years back and the “consultant”(I use that term lightly but am not naming names) telling us we were all going to be out of business like the travel industry because of this new website called Zillow. We should be scared. I read today Zillow is celebrating its 4th birthday. I say happy birthday to you. This site is an example of transparency the association should have been on the forefront of. Personally, I have embraced this website and a few others although I think the Zestimates are still off. I get to interact with both consumers and other professionals. These sites have been good for my business.

This brings me to Realtor.com. Because of  decisions made by our leadership we(all of us members) are stuck with an outdated website that should have remained the leader and is now trying to follow. Although still number one according to the website trackers, month by month the site we own is losing visitors to sites including the aboved mentioned.  I spoke with someone a few weeks back at Realtor.com. I asked why my listings and my profile don’t show up on Google like all the links from all the other websites out there. I baffled the first few people I spoke to about this and as a result of a tweet, I received a call from someone asking me what I was looking for. My answer was the value that I am receiving from the other websites I participate in. I am still not sure “the Office Website of the National Association of Realtors® understands what its members and the consumers value today. Rather than trying to embrace and grow different internet models members where being told they are bad for the industry. Now what’s bad for the members/owners of Realtor.com?

If you as an agent and your company as a brokerage did not quickly facilitate change over the last year or so where would you be? It was not until recently that NAR became a voice in the short sale and FHA issues. It is been about 2 years since thea voice at the local level started. Because banks are nationally chartered and FHA is under HUD it is at our national level of the association where are voice is. It was frustrating to me that it took 2 years and a survey to show these are is is an issue to its members. Where was the “Voice of Real Estate” 1 and 2 years ago when were struggling with these issues?

Thinking back to the presentations of the consultant who travels around the country from association to association trying to scare us that a website will finish us I think we should ask for our money back. What will drive both brokers and agents out of business is the combination of the economy and not moving forward to adapt and grow. Its about how the transactions and technology changes. Every business,  regardless of industry, has to evaluate what will keep them healthy and profitable.

Because of the enormity of the organization many decisions are made on based on the financial repercussions. If we moved as slow in making changes in our business we would be gone. It is about the jobs, the cost of real estate and the existing operating structure. Besides the credit union, most of what I see is reactionary.  Keep as many members and generate as much non dues dollars as possible to carry the current model. We all need to do things differently to survive and grow.  I see many of their reactions as an association in panic mode. I still looking for action. My bigger picture question is can the current structure carry us forward?

I think the social medium platform enables us all to have a greater voice and we need to use it. It should not be used for bashing but to feed a larger voice from the local levels. Social networking gives all of us the opportunity to let someone know you may have never had direct access to before what you think. It can create great opportunity that may benefit all of us.

Chicago’s Economic Forecast: Homes Sales Are Still Happening

Lakeview : 1302 W Fletcher, Unit 2

On Thursday, January 28, 2010 the Chicago Association of Realtors® held their annual event about what predictions for  this upcoming year. What I walked away with is what I already knew: People are still going to buy and sell homes.

Panelists Geoffrey HewingsJoseph CosenzaGail Lissner and Michael Hart all read from their Powerpoint presentations their different numbers. Some were good, some were bad and some where just ugly. Jagged lines of ups and downs and spikes and peaks.

Home affordability is at 2003 levels. The flood of short sales and foreclosures coming into the market will impact pricing until distressed properties are absorbed which should probably go into 2011. Relocation business will continue to decline as a result of greater job losses in Illinois.  With all this being said there were still numbers showing homes sold on all their graphs and charts.

There are stabilizing factors or positive news. No new construction buildings should be coming online. People are saving money so there are buyers are better quality which is required under the current lending environment but cash is king for the real deals.

For me the great news is homes are still being bought and sold so I still have a job. I continue to do what I always do, work harder and smarter.  Keep educating myself and move forward each day. Isn’t this what a professional does?